Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 897.103607 1018.020204 1153.925556 1318.912599 1515.015982 1742.182900 2027.474431
2025-03-30 690.054498 839.561297 1023.503381 1269.909459 1596.706524 2023.103019 2634.991254
2025-04-06 583.331649 739.640409 942.722621 1231.985963 1643.770675 2225.813354 3143.391303
2025-04-13 504.751672 660.406697 871.289187 1186.510469 1661.612052 2379.266578 3605.953638
2025-04-20 470.584280 634.358107 865.348323 1227.338807 1805.049242 2739.413252 4480.127165
2025-04-27 435.861796 602.254801 844.961681 1240.919505 1905.030566 3046.555858 5348.753021
2025-05-04 407.076273 574.954100 827.300383 1254.302850 2004.191213 3369.675650 6345.578305
2025-05-11 381.480547 549.400719 808.689589 1262.224926 2093.244912 3691.050907 7446.006248
2025-05-18 366.748472 538.828699 812.013528 1306.707084 2255.003277 4189.378875 9136.837745
2025-05-25 350.794551 524.576280 807.368022 1335.746787 2391.509614 4668.114091 10989.616195
2025-06-01 332.928707 505.492897 792.382291 1343.335120 2485.600868 5076.211502 12845.728953
2025-06-08 315.555836 485.696784 774.071289 1341.899702 2559.980363 5456.887567 14818.997034
2025-06-15 303.106176 473.790072 769.506423 1368.773957 2706.430564 6072.604359 17997.674548
2025-06-22 281.583235 444.700106 731.494411 1324.096547 2683.410760 6241.677449 19709.140937
2025-06-29 262.782106 418.971009 697.355214 1283.125981 2661.763498 6409.516920 21546.631737
2025-07-06 244.886381 393.642980 661.918591 1235.399771 2615.886476 6496.794563 23127.577725
2025-07-13 239.595152 390.532720 668.272063 1278.361173 2805.881745 7363.964739 29137.897393
2025-07-20 231.341917 381.383886 662.065432 1292.666919 2924.551163 8049.506974 35024.156974
2025-07-27 223.676285 372.767424 656.119394 1306.762815 3045.922383 8794.287513 42257.572268
2025-08-03 215.971046 363.542634 648.145566 1315.108091 3153.269393 9535.509929 50633.563439
2025-08-10 212.478584 362.079572 655.854543 1361.979600 3384.596118 10867.139612 66073.514482
2025-08-17 207.614987 357.613027 656.884527 1392.591448 3574.423674 12131.958074 84183.241914
2025-08-24 201.074731 349.428947 649.338825 1400.592169 3694.878988 13158.959484 102961.213757